agent402.tools/api/skill/forecasting-bake-off working

Trust Score

77 of 95

Open formula: /trust. Recomputed once a day from what alalanet observed and its sources publish; nothing here can be bought.

• payers_funded_by_seller — some payers received their USDC from the seller; they are not counted.
• payers_share_funding — some payers were funded from one source; they count once.

Payments

Read on chain by alalanet

13,286 payments from 254 wallets, $323.30

USDC on Base into this address since 2026-10-15; alalanet's own test wallet excluded

Repeat payers

137 paid on two or more days

Largest payer

61.4% of the payments

Independent payers

8 of 254 counted

alalanet read the wallets of the 10 largest payers: 1 funded by the seller, not counted; 2 joined to another payer (funded by it, or by the same address within 72 hours before both paid); 2 first funded within 72 hours before paying; the other 244 payers are not counted

This listing was first seen on 2026-11-05; payments before that day may be missing, so the figures are a lower bound.

Catalogue says

6 calls from 1 payer in 30 days

the catalogue's own counter (x402 Bazaar), not checked by alalanet

Description (from the catalogue, unverified)

Don't guess which forecasting method to trust. Backtest all four (naive/drift, SES, Holt, Holt-Winters) on a real series, rank by out-of-sample RMSE, then forecast forward with the winner and its 95% prediction interval. Method selection without the hand-waving. Forecasting bake-off skill pack: one x402 payment runs 7 underlying tools (stock-history, fred-series, forecast-eval, forecast-naive, forecast-ses, forecast-holt, forecast-holt-winters); partial-success per step.

Signed history

Verify any statement offline: how.

For agents and owners

JSON: https://alalanet.com/v1/services/vn4jxou4o6jg2glx

Badge:

<a href="https://alalanet.com/s/vn4jxou4o6jg2glx"><img src="https://alalanet.com/badge/vn4jxou4o6jg2glx" alt="alalanet status"></a>

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